What stays yours
One night. Two positions.
Maya sees the contract without confusing it with her ETH.
She keeps $1,000 of ETH and separately spends $5 on a NO position that returns $10 only if the exact market question settles NO.
Before the drop
Her ETH stays in her wallet
ETH falls 10%
The position loses value
The market answers NO
The separate contract returns $10
After the $5 premium
The winning contract offsets part of the loss
Illustrative test-collateral example, not a live quote. If the market answers YES, the contract returns nothing and Maya's combined modeled loss is $105. Her ETH remains in her wallet in both cases.